Indo-Pacific Pressure Incident Map — IPSC

IPSC Strategic Intelligence Unit

Coercive pressure, plotted incident by incident.

The Indo-Pacific Pressure Incident Map places every recorded coercion event — military, grey-zone, economic and political — at its coordinates and moment in time, built from IPSC's structured signals corpus.

Coverage Jan 2025 → present · Updated monthly ingest cycles · Sources official, media, data series

CHART · WESTERN PACIFIC · 10°S–45°N TRACKING

CH 01–04 · WHAT THE MAP TRACKS

Four channels of pressure, one picture.

Coercion rarely announces itself in a single domain. The map plots incidents across four analytical channels so that a patrol, a tariff and a speech can be read as one campaign.

Channel 01 · Military

Military activity

PLA patrols and drills, median-line and ADIZ incursions, carrier transits, missile and live-fire events — the kinetic signalling layer of the pressure campaign.

Channel 02 · Grey zone

Grey-zone operations

Coast-guard enforcement patrols, maritime-militia swarming, cable interference, airspace restrictions and other coercive acts engineered to sit below the threshold of conflict.

Channel 03 · Economic

Trade & economic coercion

Import bans, export controls, rare-earth and supply-chain leverage, investment screening and financial pressure directed at states and firms across the region.

Channel 04 · Political

Political signalling

Sovereignty statements, legal claims, diplomatic isolation moves and multilateral counter-signalling — the declaratory layer that frames every incident on the chart.

850+
Structured signals in the corpus
13
Monitored domains across two research centres
18mo
Continuous coverage, January 2025 to present

METHOD · SIGNAL TO CHART

From open sources to a single plotted point.

Every marker on the map is the end of an auditable pipeline. Nothing is plotted that cannot be traced back to a dated, sourced record.

Collect

Structured collection

Analysts run monthly domain briefs against official releases, specialist media and recurring data series across the region.

Validate

Schema & source validation

Each record passes controlled-vocabulary, date-window and citation checks before it can enter the master corpus. Rejected rows are logged, repaired and re-ingested.

Score

Directional scoring

Signals are scored for magnitude, direction and confidence, then recency-weighted into weekly domain indices that reveal escalation and de-escalation trends.

Plot

Geolocated incidents

Scored incidents are placed at their primary geography with date, actors, channel and assessment — filterable on the live map by time, domain and location.

WHO IT SERVES

Built for people who brief others.

Policy & defence analysts

Track escalation geography week by week, distinguish genuine lulls from collection gaps, and anchor assessments to sourced incidents rather than headlines.

Corporate risk teams

See where grey-zone and economic coercion concentrates — shipping lanes, chokepoints, supply-chain nodes — and stress-test exposure against real incident patterns.

Researchers & educators

A citable, time-stamped incident record for coursework, fellowships and publications, aligned with IPSC's research centres and executive programs.

24°09′N 122°57′E CHART DATUM · WGS 84 IPSC · SIU

The pressure is on the chart. Read it.

Open the live map to explore incidents by channel, time window and geography — or contact the Strategic Intelligence Unit for briefings built on the underlying corpus.